Arkansas Derby goes to longshot Line of David

Horseracing Betting Lines

04/10/2010 - Hot Springs, AR (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Lightly-raced Line of David went wire-to- wire in capturing Saturday's $1 million Arkansas Derby at Oaklawn Park. The 1 1/8-miles was run in 1:49.37 over a fast track.

Sent off as a 17-1 longshot in the nine horse field, Line of David quickly took the lead coming out of the gate. He led the field around the clubhouse turn with 4-1 third choice Super Saver in second.

Running in third was 5-2 second pick Dublin with longshot Berberis fourth. Noble's Promise, the 9-5 favorite, was racing off the pace after being bumped at the start.

The top four runners kept their positions as the field went up the backstretch. Ridden by Jon Court, Line of David had the lead into the far turn and as the field entered the stretch.

Noble's Promise joined the leaders around the turn for home. Line of David, Super Saver and Dublin were three across the track at the top of the stretch. Super Saver and Dublin appeared to be ready to pass the pacesetter, but were unable to go by him.

As the top, three horses approached the wire. Line of David dug in to keep the lead. At the wire it was Line of David by a neck over Super Saver with Dublin another neck back in third.

"I tell you that we put him on the front end and rolled into that first turn and he was rolling along pretty good but he came back to me," Court said. "I was a little concerned because we were clipping along pretty good but we weren't losing any ground either. I was just right there in the one path tight against the fence around that first turn so I knew it went pretty quick. When I called on him he was full of run through the bridle and he fought very valiantly for the photo."

Uh Oh Bango made a late rally to finish fourth followed by Noble's Promise, New Madrid, Berberis, Pulsion and Northern Giant.

Line of David picked up $600,000 for owners Ike and Dawn Thrash. The purse is the first for the chestnut colt from any stakes race and should be enough to start the Kentucky Derby.

"I was telling Jon in the infield this one was kind of late to the party," noted Ike Thrash. "But he ran really well in his last couple races and even though we got around to it late we knew he could run and he showed up today."

Trained by John Sadler, Line of David was making his start outside of California and on a real dirt track. After breaking his maiden on the fourth attempt, the colt has now won three straight. He has career earnings of $662,000.

Sadler also trains Santa Anita Derby champ Sidney's Candy.

"We're really happy, the horse ran great," Sadler said. "We're setting up camp on Monday and Tuesday at Churchill, We have Sidney's Candy and Crisp and a few others, so we'll add this one to the list."

Line Of David paid $36.60, $14.80 and $6.80. Super Saver returned $6.20 and $4.00, and Dublin paid $3.60 to show.

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College Football Betting Tips From a Pro

While the NFL is the sport wagered on the heaviest, college football betting lines has become more and more popular as people realize it’s a game that can be beat. The NCAA football season gets longer each year with the addition of numerous bowl games and with that comes more opportunities for more money in your pocket, if handled correctly.

Betting on college football is not the same as with the NFL, so make sure you separate the two. Because of the vast number of teams, the parity between college football programs is slight and thus, you are going to see some high numbers in the NCAA. Teams favored by more than 40 points are not uncommon especially early in the season when teams playing their non-conference schedules.

The best advice when trying to tackle these enormous spreads and is to just stay away. A team that is favored by 40 points is favored by that many for a reason while teams getting 40 points are bad enough that they shouldn’t be touched. Set yourself a spread limit. Getting rid of these games will cut down on the number of contests that you need to handicap while staying away from backdoor or front-door covers.

What is a backdoor and front-door cover you ask? A backdoor cover is a team that is getting beat by more than the spread, but scores late to get within that number thus covering the spread. A front-door cover is just the opposite where the favorite scores late and covers the number they are favored by.

These front-door and backdoor covers are common when second and third string players enter games in college football and it can be the worst nightmare for some bettors. These players can also be your best friend, but ask any bettor and he will give you more instances on losing in this situation than winning. It just seems to work out that way even though everything evens out in the end.

College football betting has some of the softest lines of any sport and it’s being able to find these lines that will make you a successful college football handicapper. The NFL and NBA have the tightest lines around and while those sports can be beat by looking at situations and systems, college football doesn’t quite work that way. It’s much more manual, but when done correctly, it’s much more gratifying as well.

Getting into the nuts and bolts of college football means looking at the many stats in order to beat the number. As opposed to pro football, college football is less dependent on situations and angles and more on certain statistics. Rushing offense and defense, pass efficiency offense and defense and turnover margins are huge. These are vital in the NFL, but even more so when it comes to college football.

Being able to run the ball in college football has always been a key factor in the overall success of a team. The same adage also goes for teams who have the ability to stop the run. Putting these two factors together can produce some positive results in a team’s record both straight up and against the spread. These numbers show huge differences in teams and the spread may not take those into effect, which is where the value comes into play.

Passing yardage numbers both for and against can be a misinterpreted statistic. However, pass efficiency has always been one of the best ways to look at a teams’ passing game ability both offensively and defensively. But is it really a true indication of how they perform? I wouldn’t say so since they are raw passing numbers with nothing else taken into consideration.

I use pass efficiency ratings when doing my handicapping but I adjust my numbers based on a number of factors including power ratings, strength of schedules, personnel and injuries. This gives a much better picture of a team’s ability to pass effectively and also being able to defend the pass. Tweaking pass efficiency stats instead of raw passing yards is the key.

Turnovers are the single most frustrating, and at times the most gratifying, aspect of a college football lines, mostly because they are so unpredictable. They are part of the game and most of the time nothing can be done to control them. However, turnovers are contagious and they can carry over from game to game and season to season.

It’s important to know how to forecast these unforeseen events and how to use them to your advantage. You can find ways to give yourself an edge by looking at past histories of teams and coaches and how they have fared in turnover wars in the past. Instead of turnovers hurting you at the wrong times, find ways to use them to your advantage.

As you can see, college football handicapping is very labor intensive and isn’t just based on where teams are ranked in the AP and coaches polls. Experience, coaching and match-ups are all important since unlike the NFL, college teams turn over much more often with new personnel at most positions every single year. Keeping current on this information is vital.

Betting NCAA football can be lucrative if done correctly, but more importantly, it’s just plain enjoyable because it can be beat. College football is one of the best sports to watch with some of the best rivalries taking place in all of sports. The only downfall is that a championship isn’t decided on the field but on a computer-based system that is the Bowl Championship Series. That will change someday and we will all be better off for it.

To visit this online sportsbook got to MySportsbook.com for all your NCAA college football betting needs. Mysportsbook.com online sportsbook accepts Visa and Mastercard credit cards.