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05/07/2010 - (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Boston Bruins will shoot for a sweep of their Eastern Conference semifinal series when they visit the Philadelphia Flyers for Game 4 tonight at Wachovia Center.
The sixth-seeded Bruins are just once victory away from ending this best-of-seven series and securing a berth to the conference finals for the first time since 1992, when they were swept by Pittsburgh.
Meanwhile, the seventh-seeded Flyers will try to avoid getting swept in front of the home crowd tonight. Philadelphia hasn't been swept since losing the 1997 Stanley Cup Finals to Detroit.
Boston won the first two games of this series on home ice, posting each victory by one goal, and then notched a 4-1 decision in Wednesday's road test in Philadelphia. Blake Wheeler recorded a goal with one assist while Mark Recchi added a key power-play score to hand the Bruins the 3-0 series lead.
Miroslav Satan and Patrice Bergeron also lit the lamp for the Bruins, while Tuukka Rask picked up his seventh win of these playoffs with a 34-save performance.
"We haven't been happy the way we've played in our own end. We thought we were just a little lax back there," Recchi said of his club's first two games. "I think we made the conscious effort coming on the road, playing a real good road defensive game. When we did make mistakes, Tuukka was there."
Arron Asham provided the lone offense for the Flyers and Brian Boucher allowed three goals on only 19 shots in defeat.
Philadelphia has held the lead for a total of 1 minute, 39 seconds in this series and that came after Asham's goal 2:32 into Wednesday's contest. Wheeler scored at 4:11 of the first period and Boston would record the game's final three goals.
"It'd be nice to play with the lead, obviously. We haven't had it at all this series and I don't know what to say," Boucher lamented. "It's frustrating when you don't have the lead and it seems like you are chasing all the time."
The Bruins did lose a key forward to injury in Wednesday's victory, as David Krejci suffered a dislocated right wrist that will keep him sidelined for the remainder of the playoffs. Krejci, who has four goals and four assists in nine playoff games this year, underwent successful surgery Thursday Union Memorial Hospital in Baltimore to repair the wrist.
Krejci was injured on a big hit in the first period by Flyers captain Mike Richards, but the Bruins scored on a breakaway just moments after the collision.
Meanwhile, the Flyers could get an important forward back tonight as winger Simon Gagne is expected to be a game-time decision. Gagne hasn't played since April 20, when he suffered a broken toe on his right foot in Game 4 of Philadelphia's opening-round series against New Jersey.
The 30-year-old has two assists in four playoff games this year and posted 17 goals and 40 points in 58 regular-season contests in 2009-10. Gagne is also one of the Flyers better defensive forwards and could give a boost to the club's special teams.
Philadelphia will need all the help it can get, considering the Bruins are a perfect 16-0 when leading a best-of-seven series by a 3-0 margin. The Flyers have faced an 0-3 series deficit in best-of-seven playoff series six times in franchise history and have only forced a Game 5 on one occasion (2008 Eastern finals vs. Pittsburgh in a five-game defeat).
Only twice in NHL history has a team come back from a 3-0 series deficit to win a series. The last time it happened was in 1975, when the New York Islanders charged back to defeat Pittsburgh in the quarterfinals. The Detroit Red Wings were on the wrong end of the other 3-0 comeback, losing the 1942 Stanley Cup Finals against Toronto.
The Flyers are 2-1 at home in the playoffs and were 24-14-3 as the host during the regular season. Boston is 2-2 on the road in the postseason after recording a respectable 21-13-7 record as the guest during the regular season.
If necessary, Game 5 of this series will take place Monday in Boston.
Boston and the Flyers are meeting in the playoffs for the first time since 1978. Each team has won twice in the four all-time playoff series between the clubs. The Flyers won the most notable matchup, beating Boston in six games to win the Stanley Cup in 1974. The Bruins have won the last two encounters, including a five-game series win over Philly the last time clubs met in the 1978 Stanley Cup semifinals.
The Flyers and B's split four games this year in a season series that included Boston's 2-1 overtime victory in the Winter Classic at Fenway Park. Both the Bruins and Flyers had 2-1-1 records in the series.
<< Royals turn to winless Greinke in second test with Rangers
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Zack Greinke takes another crack at win No. 1 when the
Kansas City Royals and Texas Rangers continue their four-game series this
evening at Rangers Ballpark in Arlington.
Greinke went 6-0 with a 0.40 earned run average in
<< Rays try to stay perfect vs. AL West in opener at Oakland
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Not many teams have been able to beat the Rays this year.
That holds especially true for the teams out west.
The Oakland Athletics, winners of two straight, will try to become the first
American League West team to d
<< Baltimore's Millwood seeks first win against Twins
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Baltimore's Kevin Millwood has pitched well this season,
but doesn't have a win yet to show for it. That elusive first victory won't
come easy tonight given the opponent.
Millwood seeks the first victory of his caree
<< White Sox lefty Buehrle takes mound vs. Jays
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Toronto's Shaun Marcum picked up his first victory since
2008 in his last trip to the hill. The way Chicago's Mark Buehrle has pitched
as of late, it seems like that long since he last won.
Buehrle will try to halt a f
Dodgers to host Rockies in key divisional set >>
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Los Angeles Dodgers outfielder Andre Ethier will bring his
Triple Crown numbers and late-game heroics into Friday's opener of a three-
game series versus the NL West-rival Colorado Rockies at Chavez Ravine.
Ethier was at i
Aussie great Newcombe has skin cancer surgery >>
Sydney, Australia (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Former world No. 1 John Newcombe
underwent surgery to have a cancerous growth removed from the right side of
his nose.
"It's a cancerous growth so he (the doctor) had to cut...and finish
UConn's Calhoun receives five-year extension >>
Storrs, CT (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The University of Connecticut handed longtime
men's head basketball coach Jim Calhoun a five-year contract extension running
through the 2014 season on Friday.
The deal is effective retroactively from July
Canucks host Hawks in pivotal Game 4 >>
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Chicago Blackhawks will try to grab a 3-1 series lead
in the Western Conference semifinals when they visit the Vancouver Canucks for
tonight's pivotal Game 4 battle at General Motors Place.
The second-seeded Blackhawks
“You play to win the game!”
Those are the words of notoriously intense head coach Herman Edwards. Unfortunately, from a bettors’ perspective, most coaches don’t feel that way about the NFL preseason. August is a time to evaluate young players, finalize the depth chart and pray your star players stay healthy.
The trick to making money during the exhibition schedule is identifying coaches – like Edwards – who can’t stand losing even when there's nothing on the line.
The New York Jets betting won 15 of 21 preseason games and went 14-7 against the spread (ATS) during Edwards’s five-year tenure with the club. In his first season as the Kansas City Chiefs field boss, the team improved from 0-4 to 2-2.
Identifying win-a-holics like Edwards is a good start if you plan betting the preseason – even though most say you shouldn’t ... but what the hell do they know anyway?
Here’s a brief rundown of two teams that have a habit of winning during the second-stringers’ season, and another club that has a good chance of exceeding this year.
Playing in the media hub of North America can be stressful but the press can’t write anything negative about the way Tom Coughlin’s boys play in the preseason. The Giants won and covered all four games last summer, improving their record to 7-1 both straight up (SU) and against the spread over the last two years.
Coughlin has shown he’s not afraid to give his starters more time in the second preseason game than most of his colleagues, no doubt one of the reasons his team has been so dominant.
Bettors can count on America’s team early on. The Cowboys are 14-6 both SU and ATS since 2002 in warm-up contests. Former coach Bill Parcells, the coach of the team the last four years, has an intimidating, in-your-face presence – surely a reason Dallas has had so much early success.
The Big Tuna won’t be strolling the sidelines with looks of disgust, but new coach Wade Phillips will be anxious to make a good first impression for owner Jerry Jones.
Dallas plays the Indianapolis Colts and the Denver Broncos before things get serious. They then face the Houston Texans in their third contest (the game starters see most game time) and finish off with the Minnesota Vikings.
Expect a Dallas team able to walk away with another 3-1 preseason record.
This team scored a league-worst 12 offensive touchdowns last season, so the rookies and veterans each have something to prove. There’s a bounty of first-unit jobs up for grabs and plenty of bodies competing for those slots.
First-time head coach Lane Kiffin will be eager to impress an owner who employs the philosophy, “Just win, baby!”
The 32-year-old Kiffin has to command respect from a locker room full of players older than him. All of these factors should lead to purpose in preseason.
Don’t forget: before playing like a team that belonged in NFL Europe, Oakland went 4-1 (both SU and ATS) in exhibition games.
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The 2007 college football rules changes that were implemented to shorten games are now history. The NCAA rules committee did what they set out to do; games were cut by an average of 14 minutes per game last season. There were also, on average, 14 fewer plays per game. We’ll get into how that did (or didn’t) affect games in regards to the pointspread a bit later.
While the NCAA rules committee may have had the betterment of the game in mind, they'll now “turn back the clock” for next season. Two key rules have now been overturned by the NCAA committee for the 2007 season, something definitely for the better.
For those of you who may not remember what those rules actually were, let us refresh your memory.
1) The first one was actually starting the clock on a kickoff as soon as the kicker touched the ball rather than waiting until the returner touched it. The problem here was near the end of the half (or game), if the team leading was kicking off, they could milk the clock by intentionally running offsides and then re-kicking. They could run 10-15 seconds off the clock each play while taking just five-yard penalties each time. They could run the clock down and simply cause the half (or game) to end on a kickoff, keeping the opposing offense off the field. In 2007, the clock will now start when the returner touches the ball as it had before last season.
2) The second rule dealt with starting the clock after a change of online football betting possession rather than waiting until the ball was snapped. This took a lot of time off the clock throughout the game as teams changed possession, however it caused the most problems late in games (or halves). Rather than huddling up and calling a play, the offensive team would have to rush onto the field as the clock started. This was a definite disadvantage to a team that was trying to come from behind late in the game. This year the clock will start on a change of possession, after the ball is snapped.
How did those rules affect the college game last year and will it make a difference this year when it comes to the pointspread? We commonly heard two theories when it came to these changes. First, it would affect scoring negatively. Second, it would hurt favorites as they would have less time and fewer plays to cover the number.
Did the rules hurt scoring? Yes. It seemed obvious that shortening the game by what amounted to 14 plays would push scoring downward. That was the case last year. Of the 119 Division 1A teams, 69 squads scored fewer points in 2007 than they did in 2005. Just 48 teams had a higher PPG scoring average and two stayed the same. Almost 59 percent of the teams in college football last year had a lower PPG average than they did in 2005. Expect more scoring in 2007 as we revert back to the old rules.
Did the rules hinder favorites from covering the number in 2007? Not really. Last year the favorites posted an overall spread record of 336-350-16 (48.9 percent). The year before, favorites were 316-326-13 (49.2 percent). In 2004, the favorites were 316-339-2 (48.2 percent). In fact, college football favorites have been above 50 percent for the season just once in the last seven years (in 2003). Last year’s numbers fell right in line with where they have been historically.
How about big favorites? The rules must have hurt them? Maybe a little bit. Double-digit favorites last year came in at a 47.8 percent clip compare with an average of just over 50 percent over the last seven years. Since 1980, favorites of -10 or more have covered at exactly a 50 percent clip (measured over 6,716 games).
Even bigger favorites must have struggled? Not really. In fact, it was just the opposite. Favorites of three TD’s or more were 59-54-2 last year (52.2 percent). Since 2000, those same favorites (-21 or higher) hit at 51.3 percent and since 1990 came in a clip of 50.3 percent. Stepping it up a notch to four TD favorites or higher, we actually see they've covered at a much better rate last season than before. Last year, favorites of -28 or more were 31-21-1, or almost 60 percent. Historically, four-TD-or-higher favorites have come in at a 50.7 percent spot since 2000 and only 48.9 percent since 1990. The “perceived” problem with the favorites covering at a reduced rate really never came to fruition.
Bottom line is, there might be some more scoring in 2007, but no real revelations when it comes to finding any pointspread golden nuggets.
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